"Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine have swung between optimism and caution, while tensions between Venezuela and the U.S. are escalating, raising concerns about potential supply disruptions," said Tsuyoshi Ueno, a senior economist at NLI Research Institute.
"Still, with markets lacking clear direction, oversupply concerns remain strong and unless geopolitical risks escalate sharply, WTI could fall below $55 early next year."
Venezuela's oil exports have fallen sharply since the United States seized a tanker earlier last week and imposed fresh sanctions on shipping companies and vessels doing business with the Latin American oil producer, according to shipping data, documents and maritime sources.